Indian stock markets sign off 2025 on strong note; Sensex rises 545 points; Silver corrects sharply

NEW DELHI: Indian stock indices jumped substantially on Wednesday, the last day of 2025, supported largely by value buying after the year-end thin trade. The Sensex jumped 0.64 per cent, or 545 points, to 85,220 points, while Nifty rose 191 points, or 0.74 per cent, to 26,130 points.

The domestic stock market opened with marginal gains on Wednesday, reflecting a balanced but soft mood among investors amid thin year-end volumes and limited global cues. According to analysts, going ahead, market participants will keep a close watch on news flow on the India-US trade deal front, auto sales data, Budget announcements, Q3 earnings, among other key global indicators.

“The market has the potential for a directional move upwards but is being weighed down by sustained FII selling and absence of fresh triggers like positive news on the US-India trade front”, said V K Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist, Geojit Investments Limited.

The coming days are going to be eventful, starting with the auto sales data for December, Q3 corporate results, expectations from the budget and other news relating to global economy like the possible US Fed action in 2026, Vijayakumar said.

“The Q3 results have to be watched carefully for indications of uptick in earnings. This is significant since there is lot of hope that there will be a rebound in earnings, going forward. Earnings growth will be the single most important factor determining the market trend in 2026. The FII flows in 2026, too, will depend on the earnings performance and expectations surrounding that”, Vijayakumar asserted.

The Sensex and Nifty cumulatively rose 8-10 per cent in 2025, lower than the recent year trends. Market participants remained cautious, with experts pointing to low foreign investor participation. Foreign portfolio investors remained net sellers in India in 2025, data showed.

Overall, Indian equity markets had largely been choppy over the past months, barring some bullish days, as investors remained uncertain over the trade deal with the United States, which imposed a 50 per cent tariff on Indian goods.

In 2024, Sensex and Nifty accumulated a growth of about 9-10 per cent each. In 2023, Sensex and Nifty gained 16-17 per cent, on a cumulative basis. In 2022, they gained a mere 3 per cent each.

“The (today’s) session reflected a gradual improvement in risk appetite into year-end, driven primarily by short covering and selective buying, rather than aggressive fresh positioning. Sentiment across the metal space turned positive after the government announced a three-year safeguard duty of around 11-12% on select steel imports, aimed at shielding domestic producers from cheaper overseas supply. The impressive, broad-based rally witnessed today has set the stage for the next directional move in the early part of the new year, with improving sentiment encouraging investors to reassess positioning amid renewed risk appetite”, said Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, a SEBI-registered online trading and wealth tech firm.

Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Investments Limited, said markets ended the 2025 on a strong note, posting a broad-based recovery.

“Looking ahead, expectations are rising for a constructive rebound in 2026, supported by improving demand conditions. Investor sentiment is likely to hinge on corporate earnings and a potential uptick in nominal GDP growth. Metal stocks led gains today after the government announced import tariffs on steel products. Meanwhile, the oil and gas sector outperformed on the back of anticipated stable demand and stronger refining margins,” Nair noted.

In another news today, international silver traded sharply lower, declining over 8 per cent at the time of filing this report. Taking cues from global markets, silver on MCX too declined sharply — down over 5 per cent at the time of filing this report — at Rs 2.37 lakh per kg.

“Despite the near-term pressure, the longer-term bullish framework remains intact”, Ponmudi R said. “The broader trend continues to favour accumulation on dips.” As per reports, international silver prices rose by approximately 140-158 per cent in 2025. (ANI)